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Trey Lance has a good reason for not running a 40-yard dash at his pro day

Trey Lance won’t be running a 40-yard dash at his pro day, and he had a logical explanation as to why.

While the 40-yard dash has become a famous metric at the NFL Combine and at pro days, it’s starting to become outdated. The event measures a player’s speed, but only after you’ve stripped off their pads and put them in a less stressful enviornment. We now have better data to track a player’s speed from their actual games.

Speaking with NFL Network’s Mike Garafolo about why he’s not running a 40, Lance told a story about a run he had in college. It was a 44-yard scramble into the endzone in the FCS National Championship against James Madison. Lance said he was wearing a GPS tracker, and it clocked him running at 21.54 mph on that run.

Next Gen Stats says that run would’ve ranked 12th among all ball carries, and first among quarterbacks last season. 

TREY LANCE: Best fits in NFL Draft | College stats, highlights

“I really like the GPS. I think it makes sense,” Lance said to NFL Network. “I’m not the person who makes the ultimate decisions, but it makes sense to have guys’ real speed instead of a 40. I know the 40 has been part of the combine and draft process for as long as anybody can remember, so I understand that as well. But (the GPS) tells a lot for sure.”

Lance’s decision to let his play do the talking instead of running a 40 could continue a recent trend. NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah hinted at this very situation just a few weeks ago.

We’re about 2-3 years away from personnel departments not caring about 40 times. The game GPS data is going to replace it. Who cares what he ran in the 40, I know exactly how fast he ran in game conditions & I have 5 years of data for context.

— Daniel Jeremiah (@MoveTheSticks) February 27, 2021

Other mobile quarterbacks in recent years, such as Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray, also opted out of running the 40-yard dash (although Jackson had another reason why). Both quarterbacks were taken in the first-round anyway, and have had success in the NFL.

Even though Lance won’t run an official 40-yard dash, we know generally about what he’d run. Anthony Hobgood, a performance manager who has worked with Lance, told NFL Network that he consistently clocked Lance in the mid-4.5s during the 40-yard dash attempts he ran with him. This would place him around last year’s fastest quarterback, Jalen Hurts, who ran a 4.54 at the combine. Michael Vick has the fastest time ever for a QB at the combine with a 4.33.

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